Skip to content Skip to footer

Hydrogen heating could cause fuel bills to rise 90%, new report warns

Electrical Review Logo

The UK Government is eager to use hydrogen as a new way to heat people’s homes, although a new report has warned it could have a disastrous impact on fuel bills. 

In order to go green, the UK needs to change the way it heats the majority of its homes, with most being heated through boilers fueled by natural gas. There are two widely talked about replacements for those inefficient and carbon-emitting boilers, one being through the use of heat pumps, while the other is by switching from natural gas to burning hydrogen. 

The argument for hydrogen is simple, all that’s required is replacing the boiler and having a new fuel source of hydrogen, which will then be burned to heat up water. It’s a straight swap and could be the cheapest to install for most consumers. However, some argue that while burning hydrogen doesn’t emit any CO2, it’s not as efficient as heat pumps, as well as significantly more expensive as a fuel source than electricity, which fuels heat pumps. 

Now a report from Cornwall Insight has backed up those claims, with the consultancy warning that replacing gas with hydrogen for home heating would result in huge energy bill rises for households over the next 30 years, with one estimate putting the increase at between 70-90%. 

This report comes as the Government is preparing to decide next year whether to allow blending of up to 20% hydrogen into the gas network and is due to make a decision on rolling out hydrogen for home heating on a mass scale in 2026.

MCS Charitable Foundation, whose work focuses on decarbonising homes, heat, and energy to deliver a net zero future and commissioned the report, noted that this adds weight to the fast-growing body of evidence showing hydrogen is economically and environmentally unviable as a source of home heating.

Figure 1: Forecast additional annual cost of hydrogen, compared to a natural gas baseline, to domestic consumers.
This is based on Ofgem’s medium Typical Domestic Consumption Value (TDCV) of 12,000 kWh/year.

Jitendra Patel, Senior Consultant at Cornwall Insight and an author of the report, commented, “While hydrogen does have a part to play in the decarbonisation pathway, through for example use in the industrial sectors and in the use of surplus electricity, current and forecast costs all show it is simply uneconomical to use a 100% hydrogen fuel for heating our homes.

“We do however see benefits in accelerating the roll out of renewable generation to help bring down generation costs and we predict a near cost parity between green and blue hydrogen production methods by 2030 when using surplus electricity.”

Dr Richard Hauxwell-Baldwin, Research & Campaigns Manager at MCS Charitable Foundation, added, “Pursuing hydrogen for home heating would lock in high energy prices for a generation. At a time when we need policies in place to cut both bills and carbon, pursuing hydrogen for home heating seems a strange policy choice.

“The fossil fuel industry is lobbying hard to get hydrogen pumped into homes around the country as it would allow them to continue their otherwise unsustainable businesses. But this would be a disaster for already hard-pressed households and the environment.

“The most cost effective, efficient and sustainable way to reduce energy bills would be for the Government to massively invest in the electrification of heat through heat pumps and heat networks, not hydrogen.”

Juliet Philips, Senior Policy Advisor at E3G, agreed, “We are in a cost of living crisis caused by exposure to international fossil fuel markets. In order to bring down bills permanently, we need to invest in solutions which permanently get us off gas – such as home insulation, heat pumps and renewables.

“In contrast, blue hydrogen, produced using fossil fuels, further weds us to volatile international gas markets. And as this new research shows, it could also hike up consumer bills. We urge the government to listen to the economics and the science ahead of making big decisions on hydrogen for heating – or it will be consumers who end up footing the bill.”

Chaitanya Kumar, Head of Environment and Green Transition at the New Economics Foundation, said, “There is way too much hype around hydrogen and while some of it is legitimate, the focus on it for domestic heating is a mirage and governments should be highly sceptical of the gas industry’s sales pitch.

“It is evident that natural gas from the North Sea will never offer true energy independence for the UK and if the current energy crisis has taught us anything, it should be to turbocharge the transition away from natural gas, not entrench our reliance on it. Boosting domestic renewables and cutting energy demand permanently are the only two genuinely sustainable solutions facing us.”

Jonathon Porritt, Founder and Director of Forum for the Future, concluded, “This is an extremely timely and significant report, sending the clearest possible signal to Ministers that using hydrogen to replace natural gas for domestic heating is an unwise and potentially dangerous distraction.

“Future supplies of green hydrogen must be prioritised for the hard-to-abate sectors, and blue hydrogen looks more and more unviable given astronomically high gas prices persisting well into the future.”

Top Stories

Electrical Review is the go-to source for electrical engineers, with more than 150 years of dedication to the industry.


© SJP Business Media.